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Research Notes




 

Power grid construction: large-scale investment program implementation

05/23/2008 12:16

Due to its current state, the Russian power grid infrastructure not only restricts Russia’s economic growth potential but, on some occasions, poses a direct threat to the stable functioning of some Russian regions. The ongoing reform of the industry is intended to ensure the necessary inflow of investment into the modernization and expansion of the power grid infrastructure. We expect the least intensive competition in the power grid construction segment. Therefore, we have singled out companies involved in the construction, repair and servicing of power grid facilities as among the best potential vehicles for investment.

 Ticker RTS2007 revenue
(USD mn)
CAGR 2006-2009Market cap (USD mn)Bid RTS,
USD
Ask RTS,
USD
Fair
price
USD
Upside
Sevzapelectrosetstroy szes616.851.2%30870507700892221%
Spetssetstroyspss104.544.5%-0.551.551.09-
Zapsibelectrosetstroy zses45.0*13.1%-95-136-
Vostoksibelectrosetstroy vset28.6*2.6%-0.08-0.27-
Noyabrskelectrosetstroy ness27.0*24.2%-3302800316-
* - Finam estimates

Among all of the companies under analysis, we primarily single out Spetssetstroy. This company, whose main manufacturing activities are concentrated in those regions that require the heftiest investments in electric power infrastructure, stands to gain the most from the expected growth in capital investments into power grid companies in coming years.

We also turn investor attention to Sevzapelectrosetstroy shares. This company ranks among the largest in its segment, with a segment market share of 7-7.5%, and enjoys robust profit margins by industry standards. For all that, the fact that the company saw its revenue from non-core activities rise to nearly half its total proceeds, adds to uncertainty as to its prospects for development.

As regards Zapsibelectrosetstroy, Vostok-sibelectrosetstroy and Noyabrsksibelectrosetstroy, we point out that these companies hold strong market positions in their main operational regions. Sales of large stakes in these companies by IES Holding could emerge as an upside driver for their stock valuations. However, the uncertainty over these companies’ future owners and their limited territorial diversification make investments in their assets risky.

Vladimir Sergievskiy

* Short overviews of equity research reports and sector reports are posted on the website http://www.finamrus.com with a 1-day delay after their full versions are emailed to the company’s clients. To get overviews on the day of their release, please contact your manager at Finam to sign up for full versions of research reports.

Sector: Construction
Company: Sevzapelectrosetstroy

All Research Notes >>

 



Finam Mutual funds  

First   Bonds
MICEX Index   Low Liquidity Shares
Finam Mutual Funds

   Top Gainers
 Sverdlov Energo 0.16840.00 %
 Kalugsk. Sbyt.  5.6139.90 %
 Smolensk Energo 0.42925.81 %
 OMZ 36.521.67 %
 Kirov Energo Sb 0.04621.05 %
   Top Losers
 Voronezh Energo 1.32-39.67 %
 Synergy ao 363-39.50 %
 Nizhegorodskaya 163-38.26 %
 KSB ap 0.079-33.61 %
 Nizhegorodskaya 180-26.83 %

Russian Stock Indices
 RTS 561.14-7.38%18:00
 MICEX10INDEX 1,041.55-4.049%18:44
 MICEXINDEXCF 533.7-4.375%18:44
Finam Indices
 i.LKOH 30.009-0.501%18:44
 i.RTKM 6.5518-0.357%18:44
 i.SNGS 0.5235-5.197%18:44
 i.SBER 0.8746-1.911%18:44
 i.GMKN 71.9432-2.576%18:44
 i.TATN 1.3731-11.669%18:44
 i.MSNG 0.0303-12.013%18:44
 i.GAZP 3.5075-2.817%18:44
 i.ROSN 3.1017-2.168%18:44
 i.PLZL 14.7114-5.341%18:44
 i.AVAZ 0.2172-8.304%18:30
 i.VTBR 0.0011-2.586%18:44
ADR (London)
 Gazprom 2.9775-11.778%18:40
 Lukoil 27.75-7.5%18:40
 Rostelekom 4.683333-14.355%18:40
 Tatneft 1.3-13.333%18:40
 Norilsk nikel 66-5.714%18:40
 Surgutneftegaz 0.509-8.288%18:40
 AFKS 200-15.79%18:40
 Rosneft 2.75-6.78%18:45
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