UTair: A diversified air carrier
UTair is a multi-profile dynamic air carrier with a diversified business structure and strong focus on passenger flights and helicopter operations. We highlight the following company's value-drivers:
UTair's EBITDA 11.5% margins is considerably higher than the average margins among other sector leaders which are below 7%.
Profitable helicopter operations contribute one third of the company's total revenue with an EBITDA margin at 14-15%, and we expect further growth of this segment, backed up by domestic market growth and new international contracts.
UTair ranks among the world's top four helicopter operators, and controls about 25% of the Russian helicopter operations market. It dominates the helicopter markets of the Urals and Western Siberia.
The sole private enterprise among the top 5 sector leaders lacks governmentally imposed growth inhibitors, which allows it to pursue an organic growth policy. The company has an investor-friendly IR team.
The company is considerably undervalued in comparison with emerging and developed markets peers, with EV/Sales 2008 below 0.5.
We expect high revenue CAGR of 28% in 2006-2009, which based on our estimates in 2007, is to increase by 45%.
Based on our valuation model, we recommend to buy the common shares of UTair. Our fair value is USD 1.16 per share at the end of 2008. This implies a 67% upside potential.
Vladimir Sergievskiy
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Sector:
Transportation
Company:
UTair
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