Novosibirskenergo – the most profitable choice among integrated regional power utilities
Novosibirskenergo is presently one of the lowest priced Russian companies because it has not participated in the restructuring of the power sector. Our optimism is supported by the interest of strategic investors that would like to integrate the company into their value added chain, and the likely unbundling of this regional power company. We believe that the growth of the company's capitalization is to be catalyzed by the upcoming sell off of the RAO UES stake in Novosibirskenergo in February 2008.
The upcoming sale of RAO UES's stake sparks not only short term interest of investors; Novosibirskenergo's stocks are going to be attractive in the mid and short terms due to the undervaluation of its assets by the market. Based on our model of valuation of integrated power utility companies the stocks of Novosibirskenergo have the highest upside potential in the segment of the companies independent from RAO UES.
Our recommendation for shares of Novosibirskenergo is to Buy. The fair value of the common shares is USD 74 and the fair value for the preferred shares is USD 51.8. This implies the upside of 41% and 35%, respectively.
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Simon Birg
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Sector:
Power Utilities,
Regional Energos
Company:
Novosibirskenergo
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