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Research Notes




 

PSB - Looking Ahead to Consolidation

08/24/2006 14:05

PSB – Looking Ahead to Consolidation

PromStroyBank (St. Petersburg) is a leading Russian federal bank of with a stable and diversified client base and high growth rates. The lending institution’s assets surged 53% in 2005 which is much higher than industry average growth rates. The major upside driver for the bank’s stock valuations is its integration with Vneshtorgbank (VTB), Russia’s second largest bank in terms of assets, with subsequent switch to a single share.

Thus, PSB minority shareholders will have the opportunity to become the first private owners of VTB stocks which are still not listed on the stock market, but should become the second blue chip in the banking sector after an IPO which is scheduled by the management for late 2006 or early 2007.

Preparation of legislative amendments and the announcement of the specific timeframe for an EGM (September 18) at VTB dispel much of the uncertainty over the plans to switch the company to a single share. However, despite official pledges by VTB to consolidate stocks before the IPO on favorable terms for PSB minority shareholders, many details of this process still remain vague, which adds uncertainty to the valuation of the investment appeal of PromStroyBank stocks.

We estimate the fair value of PSB common shares at $1.21 and assign a Hold recommendation to them.

Clients of Finam Investment Company may receive full versions of analytical research reports translated into English by sending requests to the International Trading Department.

Olga Belenkaya

* Short overviews of equity research reports and sector reports are posted on the website http://www.finamrus.com with a 1-day delay after their full versions are emailed to the company’s clients. To get overviews on the day of their release, please contact your manager at Finam to sign up for full versions of research reports.

Sector: Financial sector
Company: VTB North-West

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