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Daily analyst comments




 

Seventh Continent posts August 2008 results: no surprises

09/26/2008 10:42

We are neutral on Seventh Continent’s operating results for August 2008. The retail chain’s sales grow steadily, including on regional markets. However, in our view, a low number of new store openings will have a considerable negative impact on Seventh Continent’s sales and upside potential.

The Seventh Continent retail network released Thursday its operating results for August 2008. In the reporting period, the company’s sales revenue showed upbeat performances and grew by about 37% y-o-y in US dollar terms. However, in our opinion, the retail chain’s operating results are not very important, since they are almost identical to the previous months’ indicators.

Table. Seventh Continent: Key Financials August 2008, USD million

 August 2007August 2008Change August 2008/ August 2007
Sales revenue, incl. VAT, USD mn10714737%
Moscow region8611433%
Other regions203365%
Total number of stores124138 
Selling space, thousand sq.m14316918%
Source: company data, Finam estimates

We are neutral on Seventh Continent’s operating results, which are not likely to have any impact on the company’s stock valuations in the mid term. At the same time, the number of new retail outlet openings is currently very low, which could limit the company’s upside drivers and impair its sales.

In line with our estimates, the fair value of Seventh Continent is USD 21.4 per share, with a 19% downside potential.

Sergey Filchenkov

Other comments of the day

Seventh Continent

Capitalization: $560 250 000,00

Common shares:
Price: $7,47
Delta week: -13,1%
Delta month: -44,9%
Delta year: -71,8%


 



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MICEX Index   Low Liquidity Shares
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   Top Gainers
 Tver' EnergoSby 0.56933.88 %
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 Uralkaliy 4527.84 %
 Tambov EnergoSb 0.02722.73 %
 Novgorod Energo 0.79620.06 %
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Russian Stock Indices
 RTS 631.84-4%18:00
 MICEX10INDEX 1,097.62-7.01%18:34
 MICEXINDEXCF 567.25-7.209%18:34
Finam Indices
 i.LKOH 28.9842-9.655%18:34
 i.RTKM 7.0637-5.278%18:34
 i.SNGS 0.5727-10.766%18:34
 i.SBER 0.7968-5.668%18:34
 i.GMKN 66.3365-9.942%18:34
 i.TATN 1.5214-9.698%18:34
 i.MSNG 0.0375-12.21%18:06
 i.GAZP 4.0318-6.592%18:34
 i.ROSN 3.6223-8.447%18:34
 i.PLZL 18.475-1.819%18:34
 i.AVAZ 0.217-7.019%18:34
 i.VTBR 0.0011-6.897%18:34
ADR (London)
 Gazprom 3.95-8.671%19:08
 Lukoil 27.81-12.547%19:08
 Rostelekom 6.501667-6.697%19:08
 Tatneft 1.55-8.824%19:09
 Norilsk nikel 61.3-16.938%19:08
 Surgutneftegaz 0.57-10.798%23:31
 AFKS 247.5-11.607%19:08
 Rosneft 3.42-13.854%19:08
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