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Daily analyst comments




 

Pharmacy chain 36.6 cuts losses

09/12/2008 11:00

We are neutral about the 1H 2008 financials posted by pharmacy chain 36.6. We believe that the company's market capitalization, now lower than the market price of its 51% share in Veropharm, does not include the price of its retail subdivision, which controls more than 1,100 pharmacies. We put this discrepancy down to market vagaries and believe that the company's stock valuations hold a significant upside potential in the mid term.

Pharmacy chain 36.6 has disclosed its financial performance for 1H 2008. The company says that consolidated revenue jumped by over 43%, giving its retail and manufacturing (Veropharm) subdivisions equal credit for sales growth.

Table. Retail chain 36.6: key financials for 1H 2008, USD mn

Indicator1H20071H2008Change 1H2008/1H2007
Sales390.5558.843%
Retail 302.9448.248%
Veropharm59.586.545%
others28.0024.1-14%
Gross profit130.9182.2039%
Retail 83.4114.738%
Veropharm 36.658.760%
others10.908.80-19%
EBITDA159.70-35%
Retail-5.1-21.2-314%
Veropharm1728.668%
others3.102.20-28%
Net profit-16.9-8.152%
Retail-29.6-28.83%
Veropharm1119.476%
others1.701.30-21%
Source: company data, Finam estimates

The company has changed its development strategy several times to date. In the immediate future, the company's priority tasks will be to make its retail network more efficient by ridding it of non-core assets, boosting the profit margins of its retail subdivision by shutting down some of its loss-making pharmacies and streamlining its logistics network.

In the reporting period, the retail subdivision continued to make losses. A more than 2x reduction in the company's net loss is attributable to a one-off gain of USD 35.5 million from the sale of EMC in May 2008 and rapid growth in the net profit of the manufacturing subdivision.

We believe that the current development trends at the company, as well as its financial results, do not make it an attractive vehicle for investments. However, we deem it necessary to underscore the fundamental factor that, in our view, is insufficiently heeded by the market: the company's 51% stake in Veropharm currently has a market price of USD 200 million, a value that exceeds the company's market capitalization by 5%. This is indicative of the fact that the company's market cap does not include the price of its retail subdivision, which controls more than 1,100 pharmacies. We put this discrepancy down to market vagaries and believe that the company's shares may gain ground in the mid term.

We estimate the fair value of Pharmacy Chain 36.6 shares at USD 34.5 per share, which means an upside potential of more than 80% to its current stock valuations.

Sergey Filchenkov

Other comments of the day

Pharmacy Chain 36,6

Capitalization: $30 000 000,00

Common shares:
Price: $3,75
Delta week: 3,3%
Delta month: -27,5%
Delta year: -94,6%


 



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