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Daily analyst comments




 

Magnit posts 7M 2008 operating results: in line with expectations

08/19/2008 11:01

Sector: Consumer

We are neutral on Magnit's 7M 2009 operating results and believe they will not produce any significant impact on the company's stock valuations. As for today, the most significant events for the retail chain will be the publication of the company's 1H 2008 financial report and possible decisions as regards the industry's regulation by the state.

Magnit retail network released its operating results on Monday for 7M 2008. We are neutral on the results. In July, the company's revenue grew by 52.2% y-o-y. Magnit has maintained the number of new openings at 25-30 stores per month and, by late July, had brought the total number of its retail outlets to 2,347.

Table. Magnit: Key Financials 7M 2008, USD million

 7M20077M20087M2008/7M2007
Revenue, USD mn1,928.12,934.452.2%
Total number of stores2,0292,347 
Number of store openings150136 
Total selling space, thousand sq.m578.7728.725.9%
Source: company data, Finam estimates

We are generally neutral on the retail chain's operating results and do not expect them to produce any significant impact on the company's stock valuations. However, a quick growth in the company's sales, optimization of its logistic system and quite a powerful reinforcement of the company's positions in the hypermarket sector may boost Magnit's margins for 1H 2008.

Nonetheless, we believe that the possible risks of the government tightening regulation of the industry may exert certain psychological pressures on the investment demand for consumer retailer shares in the short term, despite their strong investment attractiveness as compared to peers from developed and developing countries.

In line with our estimates, the fair value of Magnit is USD 58.6 per share, a 35% upside on the current market valuation.

Sergey Filchenkov

Other comments of the day

Magnit

Capitalization: $738 000 000,00

Common shares:
Price: $10,25
Delta week: -18,0%
Delta month: -41,0%
Delta year: -78,0%


 



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