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Updated: Oct 16, 2008 10:57         CY  
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Daily analyst comments




 

Putin plans to change tax system in oil industry

05/15/2008 11:18

Sector: O&G

Vladimir Putin's announcement of changes in the oil industry tax regulations has provoked growth in oil companies' stock valuations. These changes are to produce the largest positive impact on Rosneft, Gazprom Neft, and Lukoil's business activities due to future growth of cash flows.

On May 14, 2007, at a meeting on construction of the 2nd Baltic Pipeline System in Ust-Luga, Russian prime-minister Vladimir Putin made a number of important announcements on oil industry tax regulation.

  1. MET rate reduction. The respective draft law has already been prepared and is to be put before the State Duma in the near future.
  2. Necessity to establish 7-year "tax holidays" for companies involved in the exploration and development of new oilfields. This privilege should be valid for the Far Eastern territories, the Timan-Pechora basin, Yamal peninsula and the continental shelf.
  3. Possible introduction of new system of tariffs for oil products depending on their quality. The higher the quality of oil products, the higher the tariffs.

While MET rate reduction would be beneficial for all Russian oil companies, the two other suggestions are to affect them in various extents.

The special tax treatment, or tax holidays, is currently used by companies than develop oilfields in Eastern Siberia, Rosneft being the largest beneficiary in absolute monetary terms. In the territories named by the prime-minister, the largest number of new oilfields are being developed by Lukoil, Surgutneftegaz and Gazprom Neft. The state-controlled Gazprom Neft and Rosneft are to become the largest beneficiaries in the long-term due to an expected grant of rights for exploration and development of oilfields in Yamal peninsula and on the continental shelf.

Changes in oil product duty rates, depending on their quality, should allow the companies with larger volumes of oil refining, as compared to production volumes, to receive the largest profit. As for today and the near future, these companies are Lukoil, Gazprom Neft, and Rosneft.

Vladimir Putin's statement produced a positive impact on oil company stock valuations. Reduction of tax burdens is likely to boost oil companies' operating cash flow, which would allow them to make necessary investments, overcome oil production downward trends and increase refining depth.

Konstantin Reily

Other comments of the day

Surgutneftegaz

Capitalization: $20 425 996 823,00

Common shares:
Price: $0,52
Delta week: 30,2%
Delta month: 23,4%
Delta year: -59,9%

Preferred shares:
Price: $0,24
Delta week: 0,8%
Delta month: 5,7%
Delta year: -65,8%


 



Finam Mutual funds  

First   Bonds
MICEX Index   Low Liquidity Shares
Finam Mutual Funds

   Top Gainers
 TGK-11-001D 0.013926.36 %
 Sverdlov Energo 0.4123.87 %
 ZMZ (pref) 52.8522.91 %
 MosTeploset 0.5422.73 %
 MRSK Yuga 0.114210.87 %
   Top Losers
 Tambov EnergoSb 0.062-29.55 %
 KOMSTAR-OTS 200-25.99 %
 Tver' EnergoSby 0.36-25.00 %
 MGTS-4 370-22.59 %
 Rostovenergosby 0.028-22.22 %

Russian Stock Indices
 RTS 736.79-6.61%10:57
 MICEX10INDEX 1,134.68-6.253%10:57
 MICEXINDEXCF 640.78-7.094%10:57
Finam Indices
 i.LKOH 35.8652-9.246%10:41
 i.RTKM 6.8576-6.529%10:41
 i.SNGS 0.4821-6.826%10:42
 i.SBER 1.0216-9.2%10:41
 i.GMKN 69.0315-6.729%10:41
 i.TATN 1.6094-10.841%10:41
 i.MSNG 0.0386-4.972%10:42
 i.GAZP 4.1669-10.901%10:41
 i.ROSN 3.6159-7.969%10:41
 i.PLZL 18.5581-6.179%10:41
 i.AVAZ 0.2717-13.561%10:41
 i.VTBR 0.0012-6.154%10:41
ADR (London)
 Gazprom 4.645-9.762%18:40
 Lukoil 39.26-13.524%20:08
 Rostelekom 6.511667-1.089%20:02
 Tatneft 1.75-12.5%18:40
 Norilsk nikel 72.5-2.423%10:31
 Surgutneftegaz 0.515-8.526%10:31
 AFKS 517.5001-7.589%21:46
 Rosneft 3.6-2.439%10:54
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