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Daily analyst comments




 

TGK-1 releases moderately positive reports for 1Q 2008

05/15/2008 11:02

The TGK-1 genco released generally positive operating and financial results for 3M 2008. At the same time, growth in the company's operating expenses outpaced that in its revenue due to external factors, which ate into operating margins. The report, however, may have only limited impact on the company's stock valuations amid current conditions on the electricity market.

TGK-1 (RTS:TGKA) reported its operating and financial results in 1Q 2008.

TGK-1 financial results in 3M 2008 USD mn

Indicator3M20083M20073M2008/3M2007
Revenue41433025%
COGS36628528%
Gross profit48457%
Net profit362542%
Source: company data, Finam estimates

The following key factors have impacted the company's performance in 1Q 2008 :

    1.
  1. Faster growth in fuel prices than in electricity prices; 2.
  2. Abnormaly high winter air temperatures, which have caused the company to scale down its thermal power generation and lower its production expenditure; 3.
  3. A rise in heating power generation by the genco's own power plants, enabling the company to lower its purchases of electricity under contracts on the wholesale market.

The faster growth of operating expenses as compared to revenue growth has impaired the copmany's profit margins. At the same time, the net margin has widened as the company's non-sales revenue grew faster than its non-sales expenses.

TGK-1 margins in 3M 2008

Indicator3M20083M20073M2008/3M2007
Net margin9%8%1%
Operating margin12%14%-2%
Source: company data, Finam estimates

The company generated 7,921.7 mn Kwh of electricity in the quarter, up 3.3% y-o-y, and 9,453,900 Gcal of thermal power, down 4.5% y-o-y.

Given the mixed factors that have affected the company's performance, we are moderately positive about its 1Q 2008 results which, however, may exert only insignificant impact on its stock valuations, given the heightened volatility and downward trends on the market for electricity company shares.

We estimate the fair value of TGK-1 shares at USD 0.0011 per share and assign SELL recommendation.

Konstantin Reily

Other comments of the day

TGC-1

Capitalization: $385 434 141,66

Common shares:
Price: $0,00012
Delta week: -14,3%
Delta month: 0,00%
Delta year: -90,2%


 



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