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Updated: Oct 8, 2008 00:08         CY  
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Daily analyst comments




 

Lukoil determines amount to be invested in TGK-8

02/12/2008 10:10

In our opinion, news that Lukoil's BoD has approved the amount to be invested in TGK-8 shares lacks a promising investment idea, as the price of the upcoming mandatory buyout offer would most likely be slightly higher than the genco's current stock valuations.

On February 11, 2007 the BoD of Lukoil (RTS: LKOH) viewed as advisable an acquisition by the oil major's affiliate of a controlling interest in SGK TGK-8 (RTS: TGKH) that corresponds to 82.3% of the genco's charter capital. The payment is to be in Lukoil shares and cash. The oil producer's board approved the use of 23,550,000 common shares in Lukoil that were previously bought back from the open market at USD 70.15 per share.

After the acquisition of 82.3% of the genco's charter capital, by law Lukoil has to make a mandatory buyout offer to TGK-8's minority shareholders. If we calculate the buyout offer price, which doesn't include cash, the purchase price of TGK-8 by Lukoil is USD 0.001459 per share, or 4% higher than the closing price on RTS as of February 11. The amount reserved for Lukoil's acquisition of TGK-8 shares is most likely insignificant. Earlier, the media reported that only Lukoil shares are reserved to buy TGK-8 shares. If the company's minority shareholders accept the buyout offer, money is expected to be transferred only in 5-6 months. Therefore we question the advisability of presenting the shares for the buyout. We therefore see no appealing investment ideas based on this news. This development is neutral for Lukoil.

Our recommendation on TGK-8 is HOLD with a target price of USD 0.00143 per share. Our recommendation on Lukoil is BUY with a target price of USD 100.30 per share.

Konstantin Reily

Other comments of the day

Lukoil

Capitalization: $36 123 421 439,85

Common shares:
Price: $42,47
Delta week: -29,5%
Delta month: -37,0%
Delta year: -51,3%


 



Finam Mutual funds  

First   Bonds
MICEX Index   Low Liquidity Shares
Finam Mutual Funds

   Top Gainers
 Yaroslav. Sbyt. 11.811.21 %
 Rostovenergosby 0.0459.76 %
 Megion 250.518.92 %
 Perm' EnergoSby 29.55.73 %
 ZMZ (pref) 585.45 %
   Top Losers
 RTM 12.74-56.92 %
 Orelenergosbyt  0.582-39.69 %
 Chita Energo Sb 0.052-38.82 %
 NorNickel GMK 1,884.98-30.16 %
 MRSK Urala ao 0.2565-28.75 %

Russian Stock Indices
 RTS 858.16-0.95%18:00
 MICEX10INDEX 1,235.21-0.426%18:44
 MICEXINDEXCF 744.76-0.963%18:44
Finam Indices
 i.LKOH 42.3807-0.135%18:44
 i.RTKM 6.76130.065%18:44
 i.SNGS 0.3933-2.223%18:44
 i.SBER 1.39411.735%18:44
 i.GMKN 66.59-8.431%18:44
 i.TATN 2.4142-4.36%18:44
 i.MSNG 0.0474-1.189%18:44
 i.GAZP 5.3384-3.948%18:44
 i.ROSN 4.09-2.725%18:44
 i.PLZL 18.1058-11.523%18:44
 i.AVAZ 0.3851-0.957%18:43
 i.VTBR 0.00143.759%18:44
ADR (London)
 Gazprom 5.2754.198%19:14
 Lukoil 42.2824.353%19:14
 Rostelekom 6.17-5.15%19:14
 Tatneft 2.42556.452%19:15
 Norilsk nikel 65.817.5%19:14
 Surgutneftegaz 0.3815.152%23:31
 AFKS 465-0.215%19:14
 Rosneft 4.1332.797%19:14
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