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Daily analyst comments




 

Sibirtelecom opens a RUB 1 bn credit line in Sberbank: The rates have grown while there is less money in the market

01/29/2008 11:07

We are downbeat about the growth of interest rates. The rise of borrowing costs is an effect of a possible coming crisis and might lead, this is not the most pessimistic scenario, to the reduction of operators’ profit margins and their value.

On January 28 Sibirtelecom opened two credit lines in Sberbank which totalled RUB 1 bn, or around USD 40 mn. There was only one participant in the tender to choose a credit organization. This fact determined the choice. The credit lines are opened for three years, while the interest rate is 10.2%.

It is notable that this credit looks to be very expensive for the company. The interest rate is much higher than the rates of the credit lines that were opened in Sberbank only half a year ago, in June 2007 (RUB 860 mn, RUB 800 mn and RUB 340 mn at 7%) and in VTB (RUB 800 mn at 8.3%). The starting threshold indicated in the tender documentation is MOSPRIME+2.8% or 7.65% at the present time. Three bond issues placed by the company are floating in the stock market. Their redemption yield is 7.33%, 7.97% and 7.47% (for this issue yield-to-put is indicated).

We believe that the growth of credit interest rates is a result of the credit crunch in the global market and the impact on the company’s value might be very strong. However, it would be possible to draw a conclusion about the scale of the impact only when the company recognizes the growth of borrowing cost in its financial statement. Still, we already can talk about the negative effects of the interest rate growth on the telecom business.

We do not revise our BUY recommendation for commons and preferreds until the disclosure of the company's financial results. The fair values are USD 0.15 and USD 0.1, respectively.

Other comments of the day

SiberiaTelecom

Capitalization: $51 095 601,96

Common shares:
Price: $0,011
Delta week: 0,00%
Delta month: -8,4%
Delta year: -90,7%

Preferred shares:
Price: $0,0077
Delta week: 0,00%
Delta month: -9,1%
Delta year: -90,6%


 



Finam Mutual funds  

First   Bonds
MICEX Index   Low Liquidity Shares
Finam Mutual Funds

   Top Gainers
 Orelenergosbyt  0.24470.63 %
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 YakutskEnergo a 0.1828.57 %
 DalVostochny Ba 17927.86 %
   Top Losers
 Volgograd Energ 0.616-29.84 %
 SistemaGals 249-22.91 %
 LenEnrg (pref) 8.51-22.64 %
 CMT 6.258-21.79 %
 Orelenergosbyt  0.57-17.87 %

Russian Stock Indices
 RTS 631.891.03%14:00
 MICEX10INDEX 1,235.76-0.092%12:44
 MICEXINDEXCF 619.530.275%12:44
Finam Indices
 i.LKOH 32.84451.22%12:49
 i.RTKM 9.0196-1.984%12:44
 i.SNGS 0.5633-0.512%12:49
 i.SBER 0.7818-0.581%12:49
 i.GMKN 68.0726-0.76%12:49
 i.TATN 1.8805-1.844%12:49
 i.MSNG 0.03230.498%12:49
 i.GAZP 3.6758-1.051%12:49
 i.ROSN 3.7744-1.776%12:49
 i.PLZL 25.8384-1.274%12:49
 i.AVAZ 0.2422-2.359%12:44
 i.VTBR 0.0011-1.724%12:49
ADR (London)
 Gazprom 4.039642-2.069%12:31
 Lukoil 36-2.439%12:31
 Rostelekom 9.2-6.441%12:02
 Tatneft 1.9-2.564%12:31
 Norilsk nikel 68.45-1.793%12:31
 Surgutneftegaz 0.509-0.973%12:30
 AFKS 275-4.348%12:11
 Rosneft 4.18-2.336%12:31
< January 2009
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