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Daily analyst comments




 

KM Invest: liquidation is inevitable

01/21/2008 10:41

Sector: Non-Ferrous Metals

Shareholders of KM Invest are to discuss the company's liquidation procedure and appoint members to the liquidation commission. Mr. Potanin and Mr. Prokhorov do not have any other choice but to divide KM Invest assets after the court blocked the sale of the company at Mr. Prokhorov's request. We believe that this negative news might have implications on the stock prices of the companies controlled by Mr. Potanin and Mr. Prokhorov. These companies are Norilsk Nickel and Polyus Gold.

On January 21 shareholders of KM Invest are to discuss the company's liquidation. They are also expected to vote on the charter of liquidation commission and appoint its members. Vedomosti's report stated that there are three candidates - Ekaterina Shakina, Onexim's employee (Prokhorov's representative), Andrey Klishas, Interros's General Director (Potanin's representative) and Rafael Akopov, General Director of KM Invest (independent candidate).

The liquidation was required by Mr. Potanin after the Board of Directors of KM Invest did not take into account his opinion and approved the sale of the company's assets worth over USD 8 bn. However, KM Invest is not able to sell assets. In December the Moscow Arbitration Court blocked the sale of the company's assets at Mr. Potanin's request. The BVI and Cyprus courts made the same decision not long ago. Therefore, the liquidation of KM Invest is the only way to divide the assets between Mr. Potanin and Mr. Prokhorov. All of the decisions on the sale of the assets are to be made by the liquidation commission by a unanimous vote. It would equalize the chances of Mr. Potanin and Mr. Prokhorov for the fair valuation of the assets sold.

We believe that the continuation of this conflict between Mr. Potanin and Mr. Prokhorov might further have negative implications for the companies' shares controlled by them. The major assets among them are Polyus Gold (RTS: PLZL) and Norilsk Nickel (RTS: GMKN).

However, we presently believe that shares in Norilsk Nickel are undervalued. The fair value of the company is around USD 309. This implies 27% upside to the current market price. We assign a BUY recommendation to the company's shares.

Denis Gorev

Other comments of the day

NorNickel

Capitalization: $12 762 527 661,65

Common shares:
Price: $66,95
Delta week: 0,00%
Delta month: 5,1%
Delta year: -74,4%

Common shares:
Price: $66,95
Delta week: 0,00%
Delta month: 5,1%
Delta year: -74,4%


 



Finam Mutual funds  

First   Bonds
MICEX Index   Low Liquidity Shares
Finam Mutual Funds

   Top Gainers
 Orelenergosbyt  0.24470.63 %
 O2TV 18.532.24 %
 Lipetsk EnergoS 1.31730.65 %
 YakutskEnergo a 0.1828.57 %
 DalVostochny Ba 17927.86 %
   Top Losers
 Volgograd Energ 0.616-29.84 %
 SistemaGals 249-22.91 %
 LenEnrg (pref) 8.51-22.64 %
 CMT 6.258-21.79 %
 Orelenergosbyt  0.57-17.87 %

Russian Stock Indices
 RTS 631.891.03%14:00
 MICEX10INDEX 1,235.76-0.092%12:44
 MICEXINDEXCF 619.530.275%12:44
Finam Indices
 i.LKOH 32.84451.22%12:49
 i.RTKM 9.0196-1.984%12:44
 i.SNGS 0.5633-0.512%12:49
 i.SBER 0.7818-0.581%12:49
 i.GMKN 68.0726-0.76%12:49
 i.TATN 1.8805-1.844%12:49
 i.MSNG 0.03230.498%12:49
 i.GAZP 3.6758-1.051%12:49
 i.ROSN 3.7744-1.776%12:49
 i.PLZL 25.8384-1.274%12:49
 i.AVAZ 0.2422-2.359%12:44
 i.VTBR 0.0011-1.724%12:49
ADR (London)
 Gazprom 4.05-1.818%12:48
 Lukoil 36.7-0.542%12:49
 Rostelekom 9.2-6.441%12:02
 Tatneft 1.97251.154%12:45
 Norilsk nikel 67.6-3.013%12:48
 Surgutneftegaz 0.51-0.778%12:45
 AFKS 287.50%12:47
 Rosneft 4.17-2.57%12:49
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