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Daily analyst comments




 

NorNickel could divest utilities assets unless Energo Polyus is not unbundled

11/16/2007 14:29

We believe that NorNickel could change its plans and euphoria could give way to sounder judgment. Utilities assets will not likely pay off over the next five years and we do not expect major growth in this segment. Many investors could eye WGC-3 and it will be possible to sell it at a higher price than NorNickel purchased the utility ($600/kW). Foreign investors Enel and E.ON have made buyout offers to shareholders in gencos, which they have targeted, at over $700/kW. Therefore, NorNickel will likely manage to resell WGC-3 to the strategic shareholders that failed to receive the gencos they were interested in.

NorNickel is poised to sell off its non-core assets if the shareholders do vote at the EGM to spin them off into Energo Polyus, RBC reported quoting the company's CEO Denis Morozov. According to him, utilities assets are to be spun off in order to create value for Energo Polyus. If the spin-off is not approved and is called off, NorNickel will consider all its options, including utilities asset sale, so as not to keep the utilities stocks on the company's balance sheet.

It's noteworthy that initially the metal maker's expansion on the utilities market was attributable to the intention of NorNickel's core shareholder Mikhail Prokhorov to establish a new utilities company. He went public with his upbeat outlook for the utilities segment and voiced large-scale plans on asset acquisition. He said in the first interview after the metal maker's unbundling was announced that one of reasons behind this move is that NorNickel will not post robust growth any longer.

We believe that NorNickel could change its plans and euphoria could give way to sounder judgment. Utilities assets will not likely pay off over the next five years and we do not expect major growth in this segment. Many investors could target WGC-3 and it will be possible to sell it at a higher price than NorNickel purchased the utility ($600/kW). Foreign investors Enel and E.ON have made buyout offers to shareholders in gencos, which they have targeted, at over $700/kW. Therefore, NorNickel will likely manage to resell WGC-3 to those strategic shareholders that failed to receive gencos they are interested in.

It should be noted that this development is a negative for the utilities sector, since NorNickel's possible reluctance to roll out its utilities assets is indicative of a downbeat outlook on utilities by some strategic investors.

Denis Gorev

Other comments of the day

NorNickel

Capitalization: $12 762 527 661,65

Common shares:
Price: $66,95
Delta week: 0,00%
Delta month: 5,1%
Delta year: -74,4%

Common shares:
Price: $66,95
Delta week: 0,00%
Delta month: 5,1%
Delta year: -74,4%


 



Finam Mutual funds  

First   Bonds
MICEX Index   Low Liquidity Shares
Finam Mutual Funds

   Top Gainers
 Orelenergosbyt  0.24470.63 %
 O2TV 18.532.24 %
 Lipetsk EnergoS 1.31730.65 %
 YakutskEnergo a 0.1828.57 %
 DalVostochny Ba 17927.86 %
   Top Losers
 Volgograd Energ 0.616-29.84 %
 SistemaGals 249-22.91 %
 LenEnrg (pref) 8.51-22.64 %
 CMT 6.258-21.79 %
 Orelenergosbyt  0.57-17.87 %

Russian Stock Indices
 RTS 631.891.03%14:00
 MICEX10INDEX 1,235.76-0.092%12:44
 MICEXINDEXCF 619.530.275%12:44
Finam Indices
 i.LKOH 32.84451.22%12:49
 i.RTKM 9.0196-1.984%12:44
 i.SNGS 0.5633-0.512%12:49
 i.SBER 0.7818-0.581%12:49
 i.GMKN 68.0726-0.76%12:49
 i.TATN 1.8805-1.844%12:49
 i.MSNG 0.03230.498%12:49
 i.GAZP 3.6758-1.051%12:49
 i.ROSN 3.7744-1.776%12:49
 i.PLZL 25.8384-1.274%12:49
 i.AVAZ 0.2422-2.359%12:44
 i.VTBR 0.0011-1.724%12:49
ADR (London)
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 Lukoil 36.44-1.247%12:53
 Rostelekom 9.2-6.441%12:02
 Tatneft 1.97251.154%12:53
 Norilsk nikel 67.1-3.73%12:53
 Surgutneftegaz 0.51-0.778%12:53
 AFKS 287.50%12:52
 Rosneft 4.14-3.271%12:53
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