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Daily analyst comments




 

IRDGC Center: share swap ratios to be announced in late 2007

08/22/2007 08:03

Sector: Distribution Grids

Eleven regional grid companies (RGCs) are to be folded into IRDGC Center in Q208. UES’s BoD is to address the share swap ratios in November-December 2007. We view IRDGC Center shares as an appealing long-term investment instrument. According to our estimates, market cap of IRDGC Center, once consolidation is wrapped up, will be at least $2.29 bln.

Eleven regional grid companies (RGCs) are to be folded into IRDGC Center in Q208, the company said in a press release. In November-December 2007, UES’s BoD is to address reorganization parameters for RGCs and IRDGCs, including the share swap ratios. EGMs of RGCs and IRDGCs to address a merger of regional grid companies and increased charter capital of IRDGCs are slated for Q108.

FSS is expected to register reports on the results of the additional share issues in May 2008. Thus, as early as in July 2008, trading in IRDGC Center shares could get under way on the stock market.

Belgorodenergo, Bryanskenergo, Voronezhenergo, Kostromaenergo, Kurskenergo, Lipetskenergo, Orelenergo, Tambovenergo, Smolenskenergo, Tverenergo and Yarenergo are to be folded into IRDGC Center. This company will become one of the largest inter-regional distribution companies.

According to our estimates, market cap of IRDGC Center once the consolidation is wrapped up, will be at least $2.29 bln. At present, we view as the best option to enter the charter capital of IRDGC Center to Buy into Lipetskenergo commons, Tverenergo prefs, Voronezhenergo prefs and Bryanskenergo prefs.

Company TickerTarget price, $Current price, $Upside/downside potential, %Recommendation
Lipetskenergo LIEN 1.865 1.020 83% Buy
Tverenergo (pref) TVREP 0.415 0.274 51% Buy
Voronezhenergo (pref) VZENP 3.445 2.298 50% Buy
Bryanskenergo (pref) BRENP 11.034 7.589 45% Buy
Tambovenergo (pref) TAENP 0.075 0.052 45% Buy
Kurskenergo (pref) KUENP 0.147 0.104 42% Buy
Kurskenergo KUEN 0.164 0.116 41% Buy
Orelenenrgo (pref) ORENP 0.405 0.298 36% Buy
Voronezhenergo VZEN 3.828 2.842 35% Buy
Smolenskenergo (pref) SMOEP 0.700 0.528 33% Buy
Tverenergo TVRE 0.461 0.350 32% Buy
Yarenergo (pref) YAREP 8.920 6.858 30% Buy
Smolenskenergo SMOE 0.778 0.614 27% Buy
Bryanskenergo BREN 12.260 9.874 24% Buy
Tambovenergo TAEN 0.083 0.067 24% Buy
Belgorodenergo BLRS 337.77 286.98 18% Buy
Kostromaenergo (pref) KOSGP 0.211 0.181 17% Buy
Kostromaenergo KOSG 0.235 0.205 14% Hold
Yarenergo YARE 9.911 9.745 5% Hold
Belgorodenergo (pref) BLRSP 304.00 310.15 -2% Sell
Orelenenrgo OREN 0.450 0.529 -15% Sell

Yushkova Elena

Other comments of the day

Bryanskenergo

Capitalization: $155 157 772,00

Common shares:
Price: $12,53
Delta week: 0,00%
Delta month: 0,00%
Delta year: 11,6%

Preferred shares:
Price: $11,45
Delta week: 0,00%
Delta month: 0,00%
Delta year: 14,5%



Kostromaenergo

Capitalization: $114 519 686,40

Common shares:
Price: $0,21
Delta week: 0,00%
Delta month: 0,00%
Delta year: -8,6%

Preferred shares:
Price: $0,21
Delta week: 0,00%
Delta month: 0,00%
Delta year: 11,7%



Lipetskenergo

Capitalization: $191 291 998,50

Common shares:
Price: $1,23
Delta week: 0,00%
Delta month: 0,00%
Delta year: 14,0%



Orelenergo

Common shares:
Price: $0,47
Delta week: 0,00%
Delta month: 0,00%
Delta year: 1,6%

Preferred shares:
Price: $0,32
Delta week: 0,00%
Delta month: 0,00%
Delta year: -9,2%


 



Finam Mutual funds  

First   Bonds
MICEX Index   Low Liquidity Shares
Finam Mutual Funds

   Top Gainers
 Novgorod Energo 0.55334.88 %
 Chita Energo Sb 0.04624.32 %
 Tomsk raspredel 0.1122.22 %
 Volgograd Energ 1.120.75 %
 RAO EES Vostoka 0.05718.75 %
   Top Losers
 BashInformSvyaz 1.6-42.86 %
 Novgorod Energo 0.51-40.00 %
 Synergy ao 205-39.71 %
 TGK-2 pref 0.003-21.05 %
 LSR 108-18.49 %

Russian Stock Indices
 RTS 603.33-2.41%18:00
 MICEX10INDEX 1,087.94-3.032%18:44
 MICEXINDEXCF 567-2.226%18:44
Finam Indices
 i.LKOH 28.5469-1.284%18:44
 i.RTKM 6.9148-1.736%18:44
 i.SNGS 0.5746-5.192%18:44
 i.SBER 0.7495-4.826%18:44
 i.GMKN 60.2139-4.244%18:44
 i.TATN 1.81327.313%18:44
 i.MSNG 0.03782.299%18:44
 i.GAZP 3.9191-3.945%18:44
 i.ROSN 3.4486-2.66%18:44
 i.PLZL 18.8102-0.46%18:44
 i.AVAZ 0.22815.7%18:38
 i.VTBR 0.0011-1.802%18:44
ADR (London)
 Gazprom 3.9325-3.851%18:40
 Lukoil 28.5-0.35%18:40
 Rostelekom 6.9166673.234%18:40
 Tatneft 1.7820.735%18:40
 Norilsk nikel 58.7-4.553%18:40
 Surgutneftegaz 0.56-6.667%18:40
 AFKS 235-5.812%18:40
 Rosneft 3.35-4.286%18:40
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