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Daily analyst comments




 

ChZP: upbeat Q107 financials

07/31/2007 16:18

Chelyabinsk Zinc Plant's financials turned out to be much stronger in Q107 than Q106. The main reason behind the metal maker's upbeat performance is higher zinc prices which climbed over 50% y-o-y on LME. In our opinion, growth could continue in 2007. which will positively impact the company's earnings.

On July 31, Chelyabinsk Zinc Plant (RTS: CHZN) released unaudited Q107 financials. According to the data released, the company's revenue rose 70% y-o-y to $139 mln. Net profit soared 77% to $21 mln in the same period.

The main reasons behind this upbeat performance were a rise in zinc prices on the London Metal Exchange (LME) (average zinc price was $2,248 per ton in Q106 and $3,460 per ton in Q107) and incremental metal output and sales. The company's consolidated revenue includes $4.1 mln (2.9% of total revenue) of lead concentrate sales by Nova Zinc and $4.2 mln (3.0% of total revenue) of associated product sales, including sulphuric acid, cadmium and indium ($4.9 mln in Q106).

Q107 financial indicators

 Q107Q106 Chng
RR $ RR $ %
Revenue 3643 139 2149 76 70%
Gross profit 975 37 630 22 55%
Gross profit margin 27% 27% 29% 29% -
EBITDA 1019 39 522 18 95%
EBITDA margin 28% 28% 24% 24% -
Pre-tax profit (loss) 737 28 407 14 81%
Net profit 551 21 310 11 78%
Net profit margin 15% 15% 14% 14% -
Source: Company data, Finam estimates

The metal maker's gross profit rose 55% to $37 mln in Q107 compared to $22 mln in Q106. COGS amounted to $101 mln in Q107 and ensured gross profit margin of 27% (29% in Q106), while EBITDA margin strengthened from 24% to 28%.

The company's net profit soared 77% to $21 mln in three months ending March 31, 2007 compared to $11 mln in the same period 2006. We expect FY07 results to be much stronger than in 2006 due to high zinc prices and effective cost containment measures.

At present, in terms of industry average multiples, the price of ChZP should be around $231 per share, which implies 55% upside to current market valuations.

Denis Gorev

Other comments of the day

Chelyabinsk Zinc Plant

Capitalization: $62 324 721,50

Common shares:
Price: $1,15
Delta week: -17,9%
Delta month: -37,8%
Delta year: -91,2%


 



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First   Bonds
MICEX Index   Low Liquidity Shares
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   Top Gainers
 Novgorod Energo 0.55334.88 %
 Chita Energo Sb 0.04624.32 %
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 Volgograd Energ 1.120.75 %
 RAO EES Vostoka 0.05718.75 %
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 LSR 108-18.49 %

Russian Stock Indices
 RTS 603.33-2.41%18:00
 MICEX10INDEX 1,087.94-3.032%18:44
 MICEXINDEXCF 567-2.226%18:44
Finam Indices
 i.LKOH 28.5469-1.284%18:44
 i.RTKM 6.9148-1.736%18:44
 i.SNGS 0.5746-5.192%18:44
 i.SBER 0.7495-4.826%18:44
 i.GMKN 60.2139-4.244%18:44
 i.TATN 1.81327.313%18:44
 i.MSNG 0.03782.299%18:44
 i.GAZP 3.9191-3.945%18:44
 i.ROSN 3.4486-2.66%18:44
 i.PLZL 18.8102-0.46%18:44
 i.AVAZ 0.22815.7%18:38
 i.VTBR 0.0011-1.802%18:44
ADR (London)
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 Lukoil 28.5-0.35%18:40
 Rostelekom 6.9166673.234%18:40
 Tatneft 1.7820.735%18:40
 Norilsk nikel 58.7-4.553%18:40
 Surgutneftegaz 0.56-6.667%18:40
 AFKS 235-5.812%18:40
 Rosneft 3.35-4.286%18:40
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