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Updated: Dec 4, 2008 11:13         EU  
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Daily analyst comments




 

Rosneft takes the lead from Promregionholding

06/15/2007 07:31

Sector: Power Utilities

On June 9, Rosneft made an offer to acquire Yukos assets in southern Russia. Initially, Promregionholding was declared the winner in this auction. We do not believe that Rosneft is purchasing these assets for sale, since utilities assets account for 90% of the lot and agaist the background of stronger interest of strategic investors in the utilities industry, Rosneft might have its sights set on becoming a new player on the electric power market.

On June 9, Rosneft made a $189 mln offer to acquire Yukos assets in southern Russia. Initially, Promregionholding was declared the winner in this auction, Interfax reported quoting Oil Information Agency. Yukos interim receiver is supposed to accept the offer within 10 days after the application was filed.

According to our estimates, the market price of assets in the lot amounts to $290 mln. The market value of Yukos stake in Kubanenergo alone is $164 mln. Thus, Rosneft has acquired extremely appealing utilities assets in a promising region at a very attractive price (at a 40% discount to the market value).

We do not believe that Rosneft is purchasing these assets for sale, since utilities assets account for 90% of the lot and against the background of stronger interest of strategic investors in the utilities industry, Rosneft may well have its sights set on becoming a new player on the electric power market.

The stake in Kubanskaya Generating Company is to be swapped for TGC-8 shares which corresponds to a 7.5% interest. Rosneft will maintain other assets in the lot as portfolio investments which were acquired 30-40% below market price and offer fairly good upside potential.

Simon Birg

Other comments of the day

Kubanenergo

Capitalization: $98 281 920,00

Common shares:
Price: $5,50
Delta week: 0,00%
Delta month: -29,0%
Delta year: -84,8%



UES

Capitalization: $45 413 396 656,32

Common shares:
Price: $1,06
Delta week: 0,00%
Delta month: 0,00%
Delta year: -16,4%

Preferred shares:
Price: $0,92
Delta week: 0,00%
Delta month: 0,00%
Delta year: -18,6%



Rosneft

Capitalization: $36 563 713 468,65

Common shares:
Price: $3,45
Delta week: -14,2%
Delta month: -26,4%
Delta year: -62,8%



TGC-8

Capitalization: $2 479 525 733,84

Common shares:
Price: $0,0012
Delta week: 0,00%
Delta month: 0,00%
Delta year: -11,3%


 



Finam Mutual funds  

First   Bonds
MICEX Index   Low Liquidity Shares
Finam Mutual Funds

   Top Gainers
 Novgorod Energo 0.55334.88 %
 Chita Energo Sb 0.04624.32 %
 Tomsk raspredel 0.1122.22 %
 Volgograd Energ 1.120.75 %
 RAO EES Vostoka 0.05718.75 %
   Top Losers
 BashInformSvyaz 1.6-42.86 %
 Novgorod Energo 0.51-40.00 %
 Synergy ao 205-39.71 %
 TGK-2 pref 0.003-21.05 %
 LSR 108-18.49 %

Russian Stock Indices
 RTS 604.70.23%11:12
 MICEX10INDEX 1,094.480.601%11:12
 MICEXINDEXCF 567.060.011%11:12
Finam Indices
 i.LKOH 28.1128-1.521%10:57
 i.RTKM 6.98821.062%10:56
 i.SNGS 0.5733-0.225%10:58
 i.SBER 0.7485-0.132%10:58
 i.GMKN 59.7396-0.788%10:58
 i.TATN 1.7277-4.715%10:57
 i.MSNG 0.03810.74%10:51
 i.GAZP 3.8573-1.577%10:58
 i.ROSN 3.3881-1.754%10:58
 i.PLZL 18.6418-0.895%10:57
 i.AVAZ 0.2238-1.859%10:46
 i.VTBR 0.00110%10:58
ADR (London)
 Gazprom 3.9325-3.851%18:40
 Lukoil 28.5-0.35%18:40
 Rostelekom 6.9166673.234%18:40
 Tatneft 1.7820.735%18:40
 Norilsk nikel 58.7-4.553%18:40
 Surgutneftegaz 0.56-6.667%18:40
 AFKS 235-5.812%18:40
 Rosneft 3.35-4.286%18:40
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