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Daily analyst comments




 

Vozrozhdenie is "personal bank" for million clients

03/30/2007 08:01

The bank's headline IAS financial indicators are as follows:

 Rub mln$ mln
2004 2005 2006 2004 2005 2006
Assets as of year-end 30,627 49,109 73,426 1,104 1,706 2,789
growth, %   60% 50%   55% 63%
Average annual assets 28,701 39,057 58,376 1,006 1,385 2,147
Capital as of year-end 2,604 3,273 5,509 94 114 209
growth, %   26% 68%   21% 83%
Average annual capital 2,382 2,938 4,192 86 102 154
Net interest income 2,054 2,111 3,484 74 73 132
growth, %   3% 65%   -1% 81%
Reserve 467 247 393 17 8 15
Non-interest income 1,272 1,880 2,386 46 65 91
growth, %   48% 27%   41% 40%
Costs 2,258 3,037 4,243 81 105 161
growth, %   34% 40%   30% 53%
Earnings 507 707 1084 19 25 41
growth, % , 39% 53%   32% 64%
Tax 46 163 283 2 6 11
Net profit 461 544 801 17 19 30
growth, %   18% 47%   12% 58%
Earnings per share, Rub 22 28 39 $0.79 $0.97 $1.48
Return on equity (ROE) 19% 19% 19%      
Return on assets (ROA) 1.6% 1.4% 1.4%      

Due to strong demand for banking services on the part of small and mid-size companies and also private clients, Vozrozhdenie Bank's growth rate outpaced the banking system as a whole (44% in ruble terms).

The bank's core business of extending loans to small and mid-sized companies generated over 75% of aggregate growth of credit portfolio. The bank also actively developed consumer lending and by year-end 2006 consumer loans grew to 17% of credit portfolio compared to 11% as of year-end 2005. This enabled the bank to increase returns on its portfolio and interest rates as a whole. The quality of credit portfolio remains high and the share of overdue credits stood at 1.7% of overall amount of credit portfolio.

Net interest income climbed 81% in dollar terms and the bank managed to extend interest spread from 8.1% in 2005 to 8.3% which is a strong result for the banking sector. Non-interest income accounts for nearly 40% of operating income which hedges the bank's earnings from the risks of a narrower interest spread in the future.

Meanwhile, we view costs as excessive and the bank's cost/income ratio is traditionally high. The bank only managed to reduce it from an abnormally high 76.1% in 2005 to 72.3%. This is due to considerable investments in sales network, implementation of new technologies and increasing headcount (+13%). Overall, personnel costs climbed nearly 42%. In our opinion, high costs depress the potential rise in the bank's margins. According to management's guidance, personnel costs will continue to grow rapidly in the coming years. However, margins will improve. The mid-term target for the cost-income ratio is 20-25%.

In the near future, the bank will place an additional share issue. The parameters have already been announced, 3 mln shares with Rub 10 par value. According to management, the shares are to be floated in late April-early May. As a result of this additional share issue, the bank plans to increase its free float form 30% to 40%. Management believes that raising long-term financial resources in the form of equity and debt (in 2006, the bank placed Rub 3 bln ($115.29 mln) Eurobond issue) will enable Vozrozhdenie Bank to maintain its growth rate in the coming years comparable with 2005.

We are upbeat on the bank's financials and its plans to raise long-term capital and increase free float. In our opinion, this will positively impact its stock valuations in the mid term.

Olga Belenkaya

Other comments of the day

Vozrozhdenie Bank

Capitalization: $226 074 673,08

Common shares:
Price: $10,67
Delta week: -8,2%
Delta month: -9,6%
Delta year: -83,8%

Preferred shares:
Price: $3,62
Delta week: -9,2%
Delta month: -1,9%
Delta year: -89,5%


 



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 MICEX10INDEX 1,087.94-3.032%18:44
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 i.SBER 0.7495-4.826%18:44
 i.GMKN 60.2139-4.244%18:44
 i.TATN 1.81327.313%18:44
 i.MSNG 0.03782.299%18:44
 i.GAZP 3.9191-3.945%18:44
 i.ROSN 3.4486-2.66%18:44
 i.PLZL 18.8102-0.46%18:44
 i.AVAZ 0.22815.7%18:38
 i.VTBR 0.0011-1.802%18:44
ADR (London)
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