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Daily analyst comments




 

Baltika benefits from synergetic effect

03/16/2007 08:07

Sector: Consumer

FY06 financials of the merged Baltika underscored that the company's sales more than doubled market growth. The synergetic effect of the merger of Baltic Beverage Holding's Russian assets amounted to nearly $80 mln in 2006. In addition, this indicator is expected to grow to $100 mln which acts as additional driver for the investment appeal of Baltika shares.

According to company data, the merged Baltika's sales in kind amounted to 37.2 mln hectoliters in 2006, up 10.3% y-o-y. In addition, the company slightly increased its market share, which reached nearly 36.4% on the market, which allows the brewer to maintain its leadership status.

The company's topline growth was 20.8% y-o-y to ˆ1.74 bln due to a 10.3% rise in sales volumes and a 5.9% increase in the average selling price.

Table 1. FY06 headline indicators, ˆ mln

 20052006Chng
Revenue 1,440.37 1,739.48 20.8%
COGS 717.84 807.67 12.5%
Gross profit 722.53 931.81 29.0%
Gross profit margin 50.2% 53.6%  
Logistics expenses 184.3 214.6 16.4%
Promotion expenses (marketing, sales, etc.) 174.8 227.6 30.2%
Administrative expenses 57.7 62.4 8.1%
EBITDA 404.6 555.9 37.4%
EBITDA margin 28.1% 32.0%  
Operating profit 303.20 427.10 40.9%
Operating profit margin 21.1% 24.6%  
Net profit 232.40 330.90 42.4%
Net profit margin 16.1% 19.0%  
Source: Company data, Finam estimates

Robust topline growth ensured a rise in gross profit margin to 53.6%. Strong growth of promotion expenses were offset by the company's synergetic effect and efficient control over opex. This enabled Baltika to ramp up EBITDA by 37.4% y-o-y to ˆ555.9 mln.

The company's net profit surged 42.4% to ˆ330.0 mln in 2006 and net profit margin of the merged Baltika amounted to 19%, up nearly 3% on 2005.

We are upbeat on the synergetic effect from the companies' merger, which could reach $100 mln in 2007. In addition, we would like to point to efficient cost-containment measures. Given that prices for main raw material spiked nearly 20%, the company has been attempting to reduce COGS growth by implementing projects to grow malt barley.

At present, we have no formal recommendation on Baltika shares.

Sergey Filchenkov

Other comments of the day

Baltika

Capitalization: $2 211 119 076,20

Common shares:
Price: $13,00
Delta week: 0,00%
Delta month: -13,3%
Delta year: -73,3%

Preferred shares:
Price: $10,48
Delta week: 0,00%
Delta month: -2,1%
Delta year: -68,4%


 



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